In the last few years, important elements in the People's
National Congress Reform came to accept that given the present
political configuration it was not possible for the party to
win an election. Two points must be noted here, which will be
developed briefly below. First the party never had won a fair
election on its own. Secondly, the conclusion assumes that the
political configuration cannot be changed with a proper
strategy and intensive campaigning.
Having come to that conclusion, the party appointed a
committee to consider the question of power sharing. That
committee crafted a reasonably detailed proposal for executive
power sharing which was submitted to the ruling party, the
People's Progressive Party Civic. The response of that party
was essentially twofold, first it said that it was necessary
to develop a much higher level of trust between the two
parties than now exists for power sharing to be a viable
proposition and secondly it suggested that executive power
sharing was not the only form of a more inclusive governance
and that, for example, some of the constitutional changes that
had already been agreed which gave parliament more power,
represented a devolution of power.
And there the matter has rested, there has been no further
movement on this issue, in or outside of the dialogue process,
and no discussions have taken place on the PNC's proposal.
Power sharing is not a straightforward solution as some of
its proponents imply. It was not implemented in Fiji by the
government despite a constitutional provision that required
it. It has been aborted, for now at least, in Northern
Ireland. It worked as a transitional mechanism in South
Africa. It has worked in Switzerland and Belgium. In
principle, it can work and it appears to provide an attractive
solution to the impasse created by ethnically based voting
patterns. But there are obvious theoretical objections to it.
For example, it can lead to gridlock in the power sharing
cabinet, it hardens ethnic division rather than softens it by
recognising and adopting the status quo of ethnic
representation, where there is a grand coalition (e.g.
PPPC/PNCR) it virtually destroys a parliamentary opposition,
putting the burden of opposition to and criticism of
governmental measures on civil society, and it tends to create
a politics of deals behind closed doors between the ethnic
overlords which are presented to parliament as a fait
accompli. In its proposal, the PNCR seeks to respond to some
of these obvious dangers to the model.
Those who now strongly advocate power sharing have argued
that it should be tried , even if only as a temporary measure,
in an effort to create some level of political stability and
economic development. They argue that the Westminster model
(with the Presidential variation) of winner-take-all has
failed given ethnic voting patterns and has proved divisive.
They say that it will create a breathing space. Critics point
out that a majority will still exist in the power sharing
cabinet with all the potential that creates for discord. In
other words, the problem is being pushed back from elections
and parliament to the cabinet and assumes a high level of
political culture in that cabinet including respect and trust
for each other and a willingness to compromise for this system
to work.
Let us return briefly to the two points raised above. The
position that the PNCR has reached now was reached by many
analysts over forty years ago. Given the voting patterns
established in the 1957, the 1961 and the 1964 elections it
was clear that the PNC could not win an election on its own.
The rigged elections from 1968 to 1985 obfuscated this obvious
fact.
Secondly, it has always been on the cards that a
reconstituted PNC, or perhaps a PNC in alliance with other
forces, could win a fair election. 1964 proved this as in the
first election under proportional representation the PPP did
not get an overall majority of the vote, as it had not done in
1957 and 1961. It is impossible to say what really happened in
the rigged elections of 1968, 1973, 1980 and l985 but though
one can be confident that the PPP would have continued to get
the largest vote, it may not have obtained a majority. It did
obtain a majority in 1992, 1997 and 2001 after fair elections
had been restored but that is because it got a substantial
part of the Amerindian vote and some of the small but not
insignificant floating vote that still exists in Guyana.
In other words, there is still at least a theoretical
possibility that the PNC could win a fair election if it could
capture a large part of the Amerindian vote, now quite
significant, and the bulk of the floating vote. This would
require extensive long-term campaigning and a reconstruction
of the party's political policies and strategy.
Those points having been made, the question that remains is
what exactly is the policy of the PNC at this stage. It has
participated in the process of constitutional reform which has
led to some significant changes in the direction of more
inclusive governance. It has submitted a proposal for
executive power sharing. That proposal has not been accepted
or even discussed so far. Will it take any further initiatives
on this score, will Mr Corbin seek to raise it in the dialogue
process? It might create some momentum, perhaps, if the party
were to respond to what the PPP had said and to explore the
possibility of opening some sort of dialogue on this matter.
Simple demands for power sharing by senior party members will
not do the trick. What is required at a minimum, as has been
the case elsewhere, is a structured dialogue process
concentrated on this issue alone (in other words, in addition
to the existing dialogue process), and with the benefit of an
experienced and dedicated facilitator with secretarial and
other facilities, in an effort to iron out the difficult
issues involved, some of which have been raised in the PNCR's
proposal.